Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 1:53 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 9.2 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.7 minutes per game this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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