Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 12:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has posted 9.2 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game this year.
The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).
Nikola Jokic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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