Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has put up 9.2 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has averaged 32.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (82nd percentile).
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.1) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player production in all stat categories.

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