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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has compiled 9.4 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 32.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Raptors).

The Raptors have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally decreases player production for all stats.

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