Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 12:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has posted 9.6 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
The 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most lethargic pace road team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Chicago Bulls have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production across the board.

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