Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 11:20 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 11.0 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.2 minutes per game playing at home this year.

Favors Under

The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 8th-slowest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (retaining possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).
Nikola Jokic is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing away from hom in this matchup.

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