Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 9.6 assists per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 34.4 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season.
The Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).
Nikola Jokic will likely see an increase in production in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the slowest pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

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