Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 7, 2023

Updated May 7, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has averaged 9.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (87th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.
On their home court, the Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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