Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has averaged 7.8 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
While on the road, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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