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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 1/20/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has averaged a terrific 9.9 assists per game this season, significantly higher than his 7.8 assists per game last season.
  • Nikola Jokic has tallied 32.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.
  • Nikola Jokic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves stat production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The Pacers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year while playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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