Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 17, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has averaged an impressive 9.8 assists per game this season, a big improvement over his 7.8 assists per game last season.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 32.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to their opposition this year without the home court advantage (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year with the home court advantage (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Trail Blazers.

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