Nicolas Claxton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nicolas Claxton

F-C · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Nicolas Claxton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nic Claxton has made 70.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 7thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have nabbed 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).
Nic Claxton will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The matchup against Orlando is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (0.0).
The most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
In comparison to last year's 55.1% clip, Nic Claxton's foul-shot proficiency has been reduced this year to 66.7%.
As a team, the Nets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line when playing at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, averaging just 18.6 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game this year when the Magic are the visiting squad (14th-least in the league).