Nickeil Alexander-Walker Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Steals

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has totaled 1.0 steals per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged a whopping 23.1 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 16.5 minutes per game last year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker will likely see an increase in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.

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