Nickeil Alexander-Walker Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has totaled 1.0 defensive rebounds per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 19th percentile -- among the league's worst by this metric.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nickeil Alexander-Walker will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

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