Nickeil Alexander-Walker Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 5.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 8.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has posted just 0.0 offensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 0.2 offensive rebounds per game last year.
The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker should experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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