Nickeil Alexander-Walker Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:53 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 9th-speediest pace offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have captured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has posted 0.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this standard: 8th percentile.
The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Nickeil Alexander-Walker will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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