Nickeil Alexander-Walker Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Boston Celtics · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics).
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing clubs have come down with 9.8 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Celtics (losing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).
Nickeil Alexander-Walker is expected to see a spike in output for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has compiled 0.3 offensive rebounds per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 12th percentile -- among the NBA's worst by this standard.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 4thworst in in the NBA as the away team with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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