Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2026

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 10, 2026

Updated Mar 10, 2026 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 9.3 rate, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's points per game have spiked this year to 19.9.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, creating a positive matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should raise possessions for the Hawks.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Atlanta Hawks rank 9thworst in in the league with only 10.5 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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