Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2025

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 7, 2025

Updated Nov 8, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has logged a whopping 17.3 points per game this year, significantly more than his 9.3 points per game last year.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Hawks have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Hawks are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace road offense in the league this year (the Raptors).

Favors Under

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 23.6% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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