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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 more than he's averaged overall this season.

The Timberwolves check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 26.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker figures to see a rise in production for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this year.

The matchup against the Thunder is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%).

The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce opportunities for the Timberwolves.

As a team, the Timberwolves have been bad at getting to the foul line playing at home: 10th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a mere 21.1 free throws per game.

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