Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2025

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Feb 1, 2025

Updated Feb 2, 2025 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been on the court for 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The matchup against Washington is a positive one; when the Washington Wizards are away from home, they have given up the 5th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (16.9).
The Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
In regard to drawing fouls, the Minnesota Timberwolves's poor 21.0 free throw attempts per game at home settles in as the 9th-worst in the NBA this year.

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