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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 11/13/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (15th percentile).

The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year with respect to 3-point shots.

The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Trail Blazers).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 23.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 29.8% on three-pointers (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, marking this as a tough matchup.

The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker figures to suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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