Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's converted from three overall this season away from his home court.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been on the court for 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 117.6 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 96.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 16.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Favors Under

The 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Nickeil Alexander-Walker will likely experience a decrease in output across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

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