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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played overall this year.

With respect to shots from downtown, the Timberwolves's superb 38.7% rate of converted threes comes in as the 4th-highest in the league this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 92.9% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 17.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home.

The matchup against Denver is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Denver Nuggets are on the road (10th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Denver is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.1).

The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league at home with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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