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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 45.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 9.1% more than he's made from three overall this year.

Relative to last season's 16.5 mark, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's playing time has spiked this season to 23.1 minutes per game.

The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have averaged 34.0% on three-pointers (weakest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, marking this as a challenging matchup.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 92.9% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 20.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's committed overall this year.

The 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

On the road, the Trail Blazers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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