Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 9:57 PM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 43.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 13 games at home, 12.2% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season while at home.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has tallied an impressive 23.1 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 16.5 minutes per game last season.
The Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team has averaged 33.8% on three-pointers (3rd-weakest in the league) vs. the Clippers, creating a challenging matchup.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 93.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 18.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-least up-tempo tempo away offense in the league this year (the LA Clippers).
The Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing teams have nabbed 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers (preserving possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).