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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 43.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 13 games at home, 12.9% higher than he's converted from three overall this year with the home court advantage.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged a whopping 23.1 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 16.5 minutes per game last year.

In terms of offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 116.5 points per game comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.

The Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.

This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; the other team has shot for the highest three rate in the NBA this year (39.3%).

The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 22.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the league).

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