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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 43.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 13 games at home, 16.1% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have been the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.

The matchup against the LA Clippers is a hard one for field goals; their opposition has put up the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (46.1%).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 66.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker should see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Clippers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Timberwolves.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

While on the road, the LA Clippers have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 24.1 free throws per game (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers, easily managing to draw fouls.

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