Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 8:48 PM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have brought down 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic (shortening possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 27.9% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

The 6th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Magic).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have attempted 28.4 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker stands to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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