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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 27.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 21.8 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

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