Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:49 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 46.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
In terms of offense, the Timberwolves's stellar 48.7% field goal rate settles in as the 7th-most in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have brought down 8.9 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (39.2).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 59.3% of his free throws this year, placing him in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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