Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.
Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have averaged 44.2% on field goal attempts (worst in the league) vs. the Thunder, making this a tough matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 3rd-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 40.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 39.2% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the league.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, the other team has brought down 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder (retaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).
This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on their home court, the other team has attempted a whopping 24.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (3rd-most in the league).

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