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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.3 more than he's played overall this season on the road.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 45.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 21.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (6th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Nickeil Alexander-Walker places in the 20th percentile for scoring efficiency with a a feeble 38.9% rate this year.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has scored 119.8 points per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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