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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 5.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.

This year when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 8.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce bonus chances for offense).

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game at home settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made just 38.0% of his field goals this year, significantly less than his 43.5 rate last year.

The matchup vs. Memphis is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Grizzlies are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.8).

The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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