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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.5 more than he's played in all games this year on the road.

The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 18 games in their home stadium, which should boost plays for the Timberwolves.

In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Timberwolves's terrific 25.0 free throws per game places 7th-best in the league this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker ought to see a spike in productivity for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 42.7% rate, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's shooting efficiency has dropped this season to 27.5%.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this year on the road.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 11.9 field goal attempts per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, identifying this as a hard matchup.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

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