Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.1 higher than he's played over the course of the year on the road.
The 9th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Timberwolves's remarkable 24.6 foul shots per game measures as the 6th-best in the league this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (26th-most in the league) vs. the Thunder, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 42.7% clip, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's field goal efficiency has dropped this year to 29.2%.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The matchup against the Thunder is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.7).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the league on the road with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, their opposition has secured 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (continuing possessions that can result in further opportunities for offense).