Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 1:33 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing away from home since the start of last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.4 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 43.5% mark, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's scoring proficiency has decreased this season to 34.3%.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a strong one; they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (116.8).
The Suns have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the league as the visting team with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk a mere 25.0% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit lower than his 65.7 mark last season.

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