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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 37.4% rate, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's three-point effectiveness has surged this year to 50.0%.

This matchup is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Golden State Warriors are on their home court, opposing clubs have averaged the 5th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (31.3).

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA as the home team this year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Nickeil Alexander-Walker lands in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a massive 0.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.

The Timberwolves rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league away from their home court this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

This year when they are at home, the other team has snagged 12.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors (retaining possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk a mere 25.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 65.7 rate last year.

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