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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 42.7% of his field goals over the last 13 games, 13.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has committed 1.7 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games while on his home court, 0.8 less than he's committed over the course of the season at home.

As it relates to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 48.8% field goal percentage as the visting team settles in as the 2nd-most in the NBA since the start of last season.

The Jazz have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA in their home city this year, which should boost possessions for the Timberwolves.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 11.1 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Jazz (lengthening possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 63.3% of his free throw attempts when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 14th percentile out of all players in the league.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted 24.4 free throws per game (8th-most in the league) against the Utah Jazz, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

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