Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 higher than he's played overall this season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.

Favors Under

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged just 6.4 points per game this season, significantly less than his 10.6 points per game last season.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (10.8).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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