Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The matchup against the Lakers is a tough one for three-pointers; their opposition have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (34.1%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Lakers is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a mere 20.8 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted a lowly 5.0 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit less than his 10.3 rate last season.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has tallied a lowly 14.5 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 21.8 minutes per game last year.
The Lakers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 9 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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