Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the 76ers are away from home, opposing teams have totaled the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league against them this year (11.4).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.
Away from their home court, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; when the 76ers are the visiting team, the other team have attempted an enormous 26.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (5th-most in the league).

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