Nickeil Alexander-Walker Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

NBA · Player Props

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 higher than he's played overall this season.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Nickeil Alexander-Walker will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player performance across the board.

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