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Nick Richards

Nick Richards Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Nick Richards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nick Richards has successfully made 64.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 12.5% more than he's converted in all games this season.

The Suns rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.

The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a good one for three-point shots; when Jokic is on his home court opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 47.3% of their attempts from downtown (96th percentile).

The 4th-fastest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

The Suns will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Nick Richards ranks in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.

The Suns have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably low this year (3.0 free throws per game: 23rd percentile).

Nick Richards will likely suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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