Nick Richards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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Nick Richards

NBA · Player Props

Nick Richards

C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Nick Richards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nick Richards has made 66.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 14.7% more than he's put through the net overall this year.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a good one for 3-pointers; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have tallied an enormous 1.0 3-pointers per game (93rd percentile).
Nick Richards has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Ivica Zubac has been quite high this year (3.2 foul shots per game when they are at home: 80th percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Nick Richards registers in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.4 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games as the home team.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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