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Nick Richards

Nick Richards Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks

Nick Richards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+118/-163).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -163.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nick Richards has put up 14.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's put up over the course of the year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Nick Richards rates in the 100th percentile for 3-point performance with a a superb 100.0% rate since the start of last season.

Nick Richards has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 10.0 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home.

The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc drained against Isaiah Hartenstein has been remarkably high (47.1%) when he is away from his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile).

This year when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing teams have compiled the 3rd-highest Field Goal% in the NBA over the last 25 games when the New York Knicks are on the road (47.9%).

The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hornets.

The Charlotte Hornets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).

The Hornets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Isaiah Hartenstein is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; when Hartenstein is on the visiting team and defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game (20th percentile).

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