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Nick Richards

Nick Richards Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets

Nick Richards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Nick Richards rates in the 100th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a a great 100.0% rate since the start of last season.

Nick Richards has averaged 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have averaged 29.4 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, resulting in a difficult matchup.

The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 11.6 field goals per game (96th percentile).

Nick Richards has converted 95.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.4% more than he's sunk in all games this year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Nick Richards comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game on his home court this year.

The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Charlotte Hornets.

The Hornets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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