Nick Richards Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Nick Richards

NBA · Player Props

Nick Richards

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Nick Richards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nick Richards has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Nick Richards will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Nick Richards has attempted 0.0 shots from downtown per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Nick Richards has been on the court for 8.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 9th percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA.
This matchup is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; their opposition have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (37.5).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Hornets.

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