Nick Richards Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Nick Richards

NBA · Player Props

Nick Richards

C · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Nick Richards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-182/+138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -167 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -182.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nick Richards has tallied 23.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from home.
The Thunder have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games at home, which should lead to more possessions for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nick Richards has posted 0.5 assists per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 16th percentile -- among the NBA's worst by this metric.
Nick Richards has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nick Richards will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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