Neemias Queta Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

NBA · Player Props

Neemias Queta

C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Neemias Queta Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Neemias Queta slots into the 88th percentile for field goal prowess with a an exceptional 56.8% rate this year.
Over the last 5 games, the other team has posted 112.2 points per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Raptors, making this a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted just 18.9 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Neemias Queta measures in the 7th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing at home, putting up 0.0 per game this year.
Neemias Queta has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Over the last 8 games, the other team has nabbed 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (maintaining possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
As a team, the Celtics have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: 6th-worst in the league over the last 10 games while at home, tallying a measly 20.5 free throws per game.